Economic Calendar

Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Nov 18
10:00 Nov NAHB housing market indx 70 71 71
Tuesday, Nov 19
8:30 Oct Build permits: change mm (%) 5.0 -2.4
8:30 Oct House starts mm: change (%) 3.8 -9.4
8:30 Oct Housing starts number mm (ml) 1.314 1.320 1.256
8:30 Oct Building permits: number (ml) 1.461 1.385 1.391
Thursday, Nov 21
8:30 Nov Philly Fed Business Index 10.4 7.0 5.6
10:00 Oct Existing home sales (ml) 5.46 5.47 5.38
10:00 Oct Exist. home sales % chg (%) 1.9 1.4 -2.2
10:00 Oct Leading index chg mm (%) -0.1 -0.1 -0.1
Friday, Nov 22
9:45 Nov PMI-Composite (source:Markit) 51.9 50.9
9:45 Nov PMI-Services (Markit) 51.6 51.0 50.6
9:45 Nov PMI-Manufacturing (Markit) 52.2 51.5 51.3
10:00 Nov Consumer Inflation Expectations (1yr) (%) 2.5 2.5
10:00 Nov Consumer Inflation Expectations (5yr) (%) 2.5 2.4
10:00 Nov Consumer Sentiment (ip) 96.8 95.7 95.7
Monday, Nov 25
13:00 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 40
Tuesday, Nov 26
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 yy (% ) 2.1 2.1 2.0
9:00 Sep CaseShiller 20 mm SA (%) 0.4 0.3 -0.2
9:00 Sep Monthly Home Price yy (%) 5.1 4.6
9:00 Sep Monthly Home Price mm (%) 0.6 0.2
10:00 Oct New home sales-units mm (ml) 0.733 0.709 0.701
10:00 Nov Consumer confidence 125.5 127.0 125.9
10:00 Oct New home sales chg mm (%) -0.7 1.1 -0.7
11:30 2-Yr Note Auction (bl) 18
13:00 5-Yr Note Auction (bl) 41
Wednesday, Nov 27
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 564.1 556.0
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 267.1 270.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 2282.2 2190.6
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.97 3.99
8:30 Q3 GDP Prelim (%) 2.1 1.9 1.9
8:30 Oct Durable goods (%) 0.6 -0.8 -1.2
8:30 Oct Nondefense ex-air (%) 1.2 -0.3 -0.6
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 213 221 227
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.640 1.690 1.695
9:45 Nov Chicago PMI 46.3 47.0 43.2
10:00 Oct Personal Income (%) 0.0 0.3 0.3
10:00 Oct Consumer Spending (Consumption) (%) +0.3 0.3 0.2
10:00 Oct PCE (y/y) (%) +1.3 1.3
10:00 Oct Core PCE (m/m) (%) +0.1 0.1 0.0
10:00 Oct Core PCE Inflation (y/y) (%) +1.6 1.7 1.7
10:00 Oct Pending Sales Index 106.7 108.7
10:00 Oct Pending Home Sales (%) -1.7 0.8 1.5
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) 1.572 -0.418 1.379
11:30 7-Yr Note Auction (bl) 32
Friday, Nov 29
9:45 Nov Chicago PMI 47.0 43.2
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 02
10:00 Nov ISM Manufacturing PMI 48.1 49.2 48.3
10:00 Nov ISM Mfg Prices Paid 46.7 47.0 45.5
10:00 Oct Construction spending (%) -0.8 0.4 0.5
Tuesday, Dec 03
9:45 Nov ISM-New York index 874.5 874.3
Wednesday, Dec 04
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 512.4 564.1
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 269.4 267.1
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1925.7 2282.2
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.97 3.97
8:15 Nov ADP National Employment (k) 67 140 125
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg Bus Act 51.6 56.1 57.0
10:00 Nov ISM N-Mfg PMI 53.9 54.5 54.7
10:30 w/e Crude Oil Inventory (ml) -4.856 -1.734 1.572
Thursday, Dec 05
7:30 Nov Challenger layoffs (k) 44.569 50.275
8:30 Oct International trade mm $ (bl) -47.2 -48.7 -52.5
8:30 w/e Jobless Claims (k) 203 215 213
8:30 w/e Continued jobless claims (ml) 1.693 1.650 1.640
10:00 Oct Factory orders mm (%) 0.3 0.3 -0.6
Friday, Dec 06
8:30 Nov Average earnings mm (%) 0.3 0.2
8:30 Nov Private Payrolls (k) 175 131
8:30 Nov Manufacturing payrolls (k) 38 -36
8:30 Nov Non-farm payrolls (k) 180 128
8:30 Nov Average workweek hrs (hr) 34.4 34.4
8:30 Nov Unemployment rate mm (%) 3.6 3.6
10:00 Dec 1yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.5
10:00 Dec Consumer Sentiment 97.0 96.8
10:00 Oct Wholesale inventories mm (%) 0.2 0.2
10:00 Dec 5yr Inflation Outlook (%) 2.5 2.5
10:00 Oct Wholesale sales mm (%) 0.1 0.0
15:00 Oct Consumer credit (bl) 16.00 9.51
Time Event Actual Forecast Prior
Monday, Dec 09
10:00 Nov Employment Trends 110.1
Tuesday, Dec 10
8:30 Q3 Productivity Revised (%) 2.3 2.2 -0.3
8:30 Q3 Labor Costs Revised (%) 2.4 2.5 3.6
Wednesday, Dec 11
7:00 w/e Mortgage Market Index 512.4
7:00 w/e MBA Purchase Index 269.4
7:00 w/e Mortgage Refinance Index 1925.7
7:00 w/e MBA 30-yr mortgage rate (%) 3.97
8:30 Nov Consumer Price Index (CPI) (%) 0.2 0.4
8:30 Nov Core CPI (Annual) (%) 2.3 2.3
14:00 Nov Federal budget, $ (bl) -133.00 -134.00
14:00 N/A FOMC rate decision (%) 1.625 1.625
Thursday, Dec 12
8:30 Nov Producer Prices (%) 0.2 0.4
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices MM (%) 0.2 0.3
8:30 Nov Core Producer Prices YY (%) 1.5 1.6
Friday, Dec 13
8:30 Nov Import prices mm (%) -0.2 -0.5
8:30 Nov Retail Sales (%) 0.4 0.3
8:30 Nov Export prices mm (%) -0.1 -0.1
10:00 Oct Business Inventories (% ) 0.1 0.0

Event Importance:
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